Language:English
Sinja Kraus v Nikola Bartunkova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sinja Kraus (Local)
Prediction 20.83%4.80fair odd
EV +4.14%
Edge +0.827%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%20.90%20.83%23.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.594.605.0025.32%21.80%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)
Prediction 79.17%1.26fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -7.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.52%79.10%79.17%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.191.201.2487.72%83.88%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sinja Kraus (Local): 20.83%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 79.17%. For Sinja Kraus (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.80. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.14%E +0.827%K +1.03%G +0.043% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.80%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.20%EV -4.20%E -3.47%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 08:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.67%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.33%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.05%E +0.419%K +0.527%G +0.011% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -0.029%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -1.07%E -0.225%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 12:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -1.07%E -0.225%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -2.11%E -0.449%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.78%E -4.86%K -30.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -2.11%E -0.449%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -2.11%E -0.449%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -8.95%E -7.78%K -59.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 11:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.20%E -3.47%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 13:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.19%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%EV -5.24%E -1.15%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.99%EV -4.20%E -3.47%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.20%E -3.47%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -6.07%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -4.20%E -3.47%K -20.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 07:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 08:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 07:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 11:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -6.28%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -9.74%E -8.55%K -69.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 09:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 07:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.36%E -1.90%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 08:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -11.48%E -2.70%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.27%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 09:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 08:11 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 09:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -12.53%E -2.98%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -6.58%E -5.57%K -36.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -14.61%E -3.56%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -2.62%E -2.13%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 14:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.48%EV -15.86%E -3.93%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.52%EV -1.83%E -1.47%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 13:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.69%E -4.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.99%E -4.16%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 13:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -17.73%E -4.49%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 77.15%EV -7.37%E -6.30%K -43.34%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 11:41 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.77% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.23% | 2.2% | 2026-10-05 09:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65% | 3.3% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |