Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng v Anna Kalinskaya

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 08:05 UTC

Final: Qinwen Zheng 1–1 Anna Kalinskaya

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Prediction 61.59%1.62fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -3.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%61.66%61.71%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.541.551.5968.49%64.75%64.52%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)

Prediction 38.41%2.60fair odd
EV -0.140%
Edge -0.054%
Kelly -0.087%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.34%38.29%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.452.6044.44%41.02%40.90%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 61.59%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 38.41%. For Anna Kalinskaya (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.604. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.600, with an expected value of -0.140%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 20:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -2.68%E -1.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 20:55
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.06%E -0.808%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-03 07:35
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 07:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:55
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:55
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:55
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:50
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:52
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.30%E -2.10%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-01 20:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.06%E -0.808%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-03 07:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.83%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-03 07:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.83%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-03 07:05
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -2.83%E -1.12%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-03 07:05
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 19:36
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.90%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 16:01
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.92%E -2.51%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.90%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 07:35
FanDuel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-02 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.13%E -2.08%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 04:53
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.13%E -2.08%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 07:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.29%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 07:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -6.67%E -2.74%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-03 07:50
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 07:35
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.74%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.53%E -2.92%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.74%E -4.15%K -7.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-01 19:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 07:10
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.36%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 07:22
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.36%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.36%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 07:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.75%E -1.91%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.90%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 07:50
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.15%E -3.34%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.90%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 03:55
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 07:15
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 07:10
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 13:00
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 07:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 07:15
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 07:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 06:31
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.90%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 12:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 19:34
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 15:57
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 16:49
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.76%E -3.77%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.59%E -3.61%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.38%E -4.20%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.90%E -2.41%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 07:10
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.38%E -4.20%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.44%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-01 20:55
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.38%E -4.20%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.82%E -3.26%K -5.59%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-03 07:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -7.00%E -4.63%K -13.72%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -12.43%E -5.45%K -9.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 20:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.61%E -5.07%K -15.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.140%E -0.054%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 07:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -8.84%E -5.98%K -18.42%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -5.13%E -2.08%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 07:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.46%E -6.43%K -20.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.98%E -1.59%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -10.08%E -6.90%K -21.90%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -13.58%E -6.04%K -10.87%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-03 07:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-10-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-10-03 07:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-10-03 07:50
Matchbook◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-10-03 07:35
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-10-03 07:45
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-10-03 07:50