Language:English
Petra Marcinko v Magdalena Frech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Petra Marcinko (Local)
Prediction 33.21%3.01fair odd
EV +2.95%
Edge +0.950%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.19%33.10%33.41%35.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.892.903.1038.46%34.62%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visit)
Prediction 66.79%1.50fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -5.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.04%66.90%66.59%68.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.401.401.4675.19%71.28%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Petra Marcinko (Local): 33.21%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 66.79%. For Petra Marcinko (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV +2.95%E +0.950%K +1.40%G +0.041% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-29 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +1.95%E +0.635%K +0.942%G +0.018% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 10:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV +1.95%E +0.635%K +0.942%G +0.018% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-29 10:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.21%EV -0.043%E -0.014%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.79%EV -4.49%E -3.14%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -0.375%E -0.125%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.16%E -6.74%K -25.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 10:07 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -1.04%E -0.349%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-29 06:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -1.70%E -0.576%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.04%E -0.690%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.16%E -3.63%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 09:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.70%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 09:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.70%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.70%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 09:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.70%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 09:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.70%E -1.27%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 04:41 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.36%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.16%E -3.63%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.36%E -1.51%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 05:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-28 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.69%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-28 19:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.49%E -3.14%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 10:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.49%E -3.14%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.16%E -3.63%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.82%E -4.13%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 10:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -11.17%E -8.40%K -33.84%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.16%E -3.63%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.60%EV -8.35%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.40%EV -2.48%E -1.70%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-28 17:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -8.35%E -3.02%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -3.82%E -2.65%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.15%E -2.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 10:28 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.82%E -2.65%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 10:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.82%E -2.65%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 08:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.16%E -3.63%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 17:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.16%E -3.63%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 05:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.16%E -3.63%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 05:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 09:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 09:57 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.90%EV -9.34%E -3.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.10%EV -6.49%E -4.64%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 02:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -10.34%E -3.83%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.15%E -2.17%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 08:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -13.66%E -5.25%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -2.48%E -1.70%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 08:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -13.66%E -5.25%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -7.83%E -5.67%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-29 06:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23% | 3.2% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.83% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.17% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.83% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.17% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 09:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.83% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.17% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 09:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.33% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.67% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 06:35 |