Language:English
Oleksandra Oliynykova v Yue Yuan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local)
Prediction 38.25%2.61fair odd
EV +1.35%
Edge +0.509%
Kelly +0.818%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.37%37.97%38.31%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.482.6544.44%40.28%40.32%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yue Yuan (Visit)
Prediction 61.75%1.62fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.00%62.03%61.69%64.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.541.5968.97%65.30%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local): 38.25%; Yue Yuan (Visit): 61.75%. For Oleksandra Oliynykova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.35%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV +1.35%E +0.509%K +0.818%G +0.011% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -10.46%E -7.21%K -23.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 10:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.585%E +0.222%K +0.359%G +0.002% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV +0.202%E +0.077%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 15:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -0.563%E -0.216%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 01:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.563%E -0.216%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 12:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.563%E -0.216%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 03:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.563%E -0.216%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 01:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -0.563%E -0.216%K -0.352%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -9.22%E -6.27%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -0.945%E -0.365%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 04:48 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -1.33%E -0.515%K -0.840%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -6.75%E -4.47%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-28 17:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.00%E -1.60%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -1.81%E -1.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-30 07:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.66%E -2.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-30 07:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 07:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 07:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 07:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 03:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.39%E -1.75%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 07:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 07:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -5.15%E -2.08%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-30 07:02 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.53%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.81%E -1.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 07:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -5.53%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.84%EV -1.81%E -1.14%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-30 07:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.53%E -2.24%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.66%E -2.35%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.90%E -3.18%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.30%E -2.57%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 07:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.68%E -2.74%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 07:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 07:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 07:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.52%E -3.60%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 07:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.21%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-30 06:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 07:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.28%E -2.76%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 07:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.12%E -4.31%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -13.95%E -6.20%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -7.37%E -4.91%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-30 06:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-09-30 07:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 0.1% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-09-30 07:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 07:15 |