Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nikola Bartunkova v Magdalena Frech

2026-10-02 03:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Prediction 58.69%1.70fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -4.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%58.64%58.70%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.61%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Visit)

Prediction 41.31%2.42fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.36%41.30%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.272.302.3446.51%44.07%43.48%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 58.69%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 41.31%. For Nikola Bartunkova (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.65, with an expected value of -3.17%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -3.17%E -1.92%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV -6.22%E -2.74%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 16:10
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.17%E -1.92%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 17:35
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.34%E -2.66%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 17:29
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.34%E -2.66%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.80%E -2.55%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-30 16:00
Bet Right🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 17:39
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 16:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.39%E -2.35%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 17:29
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.93%E -3.04%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 16:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 17:30
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.52%E -3.43%K -9.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 16:40
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-30 17:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.10%E -3.81%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 16:00
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.69%E -4.21%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-30 18:01
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.98%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-30 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-30 16:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.86%E -5.01%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-30 17:45
ReBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -8.45%E -5.42%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.60%EV -9.52%E -4.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-30 16:00
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.15%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.56%EV -9.04%E -5.83%K -16.43%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 41.44%EV -9.52%E -4.35%K -8.00%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-30 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.62%E -6.25%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.17%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-30 16:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.42%EV -10.21%E -6.67%K -19.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.58%EV -11.17%E -5.20%K -9.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-30 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-09-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-09-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%3.3%2026-09-30 18:55
Smarkets◎1.53I 65.36%NM 58.54%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.46%11.7%2026-09-30 18:21
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 54.39%1.86I 53.76%NM 45.61%17.9%2026-09-30 18:55