Language:English
Maya Joint v Sinja Kraus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maya Joint (Local)
Prediction 72.61%1.38fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -7.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%72.56%72.66%74.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.301.301.3480.65%76.63%76.92%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sinja Kraus (Visit)
Prediction 27.39%3.65fair odd
EV +0.265%
Edge +0.072%
Kelly +0.100%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.44%27.34%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.463.6631.25%29.12%28.86%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maya Joint (Local): 72.61%; Sinja Kraus (Visit): 27.39%. For Sinja Kraus (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.265%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV +0.265%E +0.072%K +0.100%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 01:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.78%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -0.557%E -0.153%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-30 01:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 01:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 01:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 12:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -1.93%E -0.538%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-28 17:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.71%E -2.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -3.02%E -0.854%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-29 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 09:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 19:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 22:03 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 11:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.80%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.20%EV -4.67%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 02:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 01:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 02:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 15:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -6.31%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 12:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -6.31%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 12:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 15:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 12:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 04:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.91%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.09%EV -7.41%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 01:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.71%E -2.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.68%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 11:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.71%E -2.02%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -7.68%E -2.28%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 11:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 20:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 11:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 11:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-29 10:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -9.97%E -8.04%K -41.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.97%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 11:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.44%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 12:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 11:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 16:28 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -12.34%E -3.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 16:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-30 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-30 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-30 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29% | 0.4% | 2026-09-30 02:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-09-29 22:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |