Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maya Joint v Sinja Kraus

2026-09-30 02:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maya Joint (Local)

Prediction 73.85%1.35fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -5.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.27%73.45%73.89%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.271.261.3380.65%78.74%79.37%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sinja Kraus (Visit)

Prediction 26.15%3.82fair odd
EV +4.60%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.071%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%26.55%26.11%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.693.694.0031.25%27.07%27.14%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Maya Joint (Local): 73.85%; Sinja Kraus (Visit): 26.15%. For Sinja Kraus (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 11 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +4.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.60%E +1.15%K +1.53%G +0.071%5.0%2026-09-28 18:39
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:39
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV +3.30%E +0.835%K +1.12%G +0.037%5.3%2026-09-28 18:40
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.93%E -0.516%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-28 19:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.55%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.01%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.45%EV -2.72%E -0.731%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-28 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-28 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-28 19:19
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-28 17:14
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -6.38%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 17:15
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.36%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -6.38%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-28 17:14
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.78%E -2.83%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-28 17:15
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-28 17:14
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-28 17:15
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.01%E -4.62%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-28 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.01%E -4.62%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-28 18:47
Unibet (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -8.43%E -6.80%K -35.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -16.32%E -5.10%K -7.42%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-28 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.23I 81.30%NM 71.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%13.0%2026-09-28 19:20