Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 66.26%; Kimberly Birrell (Visit): 33.74%. For Kimberly Birrell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.452%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.94%E -1.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -1.94%E -1.31%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 09:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -10.58%E -3.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.27%E -2.24%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -10.58%E -3.99%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 20:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -1.13%E -0.385%K -0.584%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 10:41 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.46%E -0.502%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 07:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -3.93%E -2.71%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -5.85%E -2.10%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 08:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -2.81%E -0.977%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 04:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 10:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 20:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 20:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 13:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.59%E -3.19%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 20:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.26%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.452%E -0.153%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 05:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.26%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.26%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.26%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.81%E -0.977%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 10:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.26%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.49%E -1.22%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 04:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 09:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 09:26 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.26%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.26%E -3.67%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 02:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -2.48%E -0.857%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%EV -3.49%E -1.22%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.83%E -1.34%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-03 10:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 11:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 09:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 00:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 16:06 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.92%E -4.17%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 10:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.14%E -0.738%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -2.81%E -0.977%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 11:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.58%E -4.67%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 05:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 10:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 11:02 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 10:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.24%E -5.17%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -8.89%E -3.29%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-02 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -8.57%E -6.21%K -22.55%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -13.95%E -5.47%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.07%EV -10.56%E -7.82%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.93%EV -7.20%E -2.62%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-02 10:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-10-03 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 11:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.6% | 2026-10-03 11:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.21% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.79% | 2.7% | 2026-10-03 11:15 |