Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Storm Hunter
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 69.01%1.45fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -4.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.90%69.20%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.381.381.4276.34%72.21%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Storm Hunter (Visit)
Prediction 30.99%3.23fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.685%
Kelly +0.983%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%31.10%30.80%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.3036.36%33.40%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 69.01%; Storm Hunter (Visit): 30.99%. For Storm Hunter (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -8.90%E -6.75%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV +2.26%E +0.685%K +0.983%G +0.022% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV +1.02%E +0.313%K +0.452%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV +0.711%E +0.219%K +0.316%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 15:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.711%E +0.219%K +0.316%G +0.002% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 17:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.838%E -0.262%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 17:11 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -1.15%E -0.360%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 04:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -3.32%E -1.06%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 03:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.81%EV -2.69%E -1.91%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 31.19%EV -3.63%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-02 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 23:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 14:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.83%E -5.06%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.90%E -6.75%K -27.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.94%E -1.27%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 04:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.49%E -1.80%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.11%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 04:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -6.11%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -6.42%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -6.42%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 04:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -4.07%E -2.93%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV -6.73%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 03:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 10:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 11:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.45%E -3.98%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.04%E -2.35%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 14:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.59%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-02 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 13:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 04:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 04:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 04:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.76%E -3.45%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.13%E -3.49%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 04:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.38%E -2.42%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 09:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 23:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.75%E -3.73%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 23:43 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.00%E -1.41%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.78%E -5.38%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -6.14%E -4.52%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -14.78%E -5.38%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.73%EV -9.59%E -7.32%K -30.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -14.78%E -5.38%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-03 04:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 02:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 03:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57% | 2.2% | 2026-10-03 04:31 |