Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Elina Svitolina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV -0.321%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.117%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.63%26.53%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.553.7530.77%28.17%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elina Svitolina (Visit)
Prediction 73.42%1.36fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.37%73.47%74.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3481.30%77.41%77.52%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 26.58%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 73.42%. For Maria Sakkari (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.321%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -0.321%E -0.086%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-05 05:06 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.19%EV -1.12%E -0.301%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.81%EV -3.09%E -2.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -1.65%E -0.446%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.76%E -5.32%K -25.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 02:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -2.98%E -0.816%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.82%E -2.92%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 03:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 06:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 03:16 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 06:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 07:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 13:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 08:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.49%E -5.95%K -28.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 09:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.23%E -6.58%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-04 06:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -5.11%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 04:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -3.82%E -2.92%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 04:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 06:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 06:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -6.02%E -4.71%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -8.23%E -6.58%K -32.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -5.90%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -1.62%E -1.21%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-03 22:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.44%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 06:16 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 08:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 04:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 08:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.02%E -4.71%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.02%E -4.71%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 13:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.02%E -4.71%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.97%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -9.69%E -7.88%K -42.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 06:16 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.09%E -2.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -7.23%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -3.09%E -2.34%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.35%EV -7.50%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.65%EV -3.82%E -2.92%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.30%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 16:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -8.30%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -8.96%E -7.23%K -37.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 21:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 05:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 13:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 13:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.56%E -3.50%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 08:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 04:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.29%E -4.10%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 01:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 08:31 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.93% | 0.9% | 2026-10-05 08:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-10-05 08:50 |