Language:English
Magda Linette v Katerina Siniakova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Magda Linette (Local)
Prediction 34.64%2.89fair odd
EV -0.229%
Edge -0.080%
Kelly -0.122%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.79%34.64%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8840.00%37.09%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katerina Siniakova (Visit)
Prediction 65.36%1.53fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%65.21%65.36%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.461.451.5071.43%68.52%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Magda Linette (Local): 34.64%; Katerina Siniakova (Visit): 65.36%. For Magda Linette (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -0.229%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -0.229%E -0.080%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-01 04:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -1.61%E -0.569%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.54%E -4.57%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-30 09:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-30 09:21 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 20:43 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 20:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 01:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -4.04%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 06:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.20%EV -4.04%E -1.46%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.80%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 06:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.75%EV -4.39%E -1.59%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.25%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 20:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 04:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 15:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 20:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 00:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 20:38 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.73%E -1.72%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.61%EV -5.08%E -1.85%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 20:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -5.43%E -1.99%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -5.77%E -2.12%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.58%E -3.14%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.92%E -2.67%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 03:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 20:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 05:53 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-30 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.46%E -2.39%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-30 20:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.96%E -1.31%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.23%E -3.61%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -8.20%E -3.09%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -8.50%E -6.07%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-01 06:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:08 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -8.89%E -3.38%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -2.62%E -1.76%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.24%E -3.53%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.89%E -4.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.93%E -3.82%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.39%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.27%E -2.21%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -13.39%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -6.54%E -4.57%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-30 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.06%EV -13.39%E -5.36%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.94%EV -7.85%E -5.56%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-01 05:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 05:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 05:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 05:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 0.5% | 2026-10-01 05:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.33% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.67% | 1.4% | 2026-10-01 06:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.94% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.06% | 1.6% | 2026-10-01 06:05 |