Language:English
Maddison Inglis v Zeynep Sonmez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maddison Inglis (Local)
Prediction 34.31%2.91fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.775%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%34.31%34.29%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.772.752.8538.46%36.15%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zeynep Sonmez (Visit)
Prediction 65.69%1.52fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.69%65.71%66.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.441.441.4873.53%69.51%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maddison Inglis (Local): 34.31%; Zeynep Sonmez (Visit): 65.69%. For Maddison Inglis (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -2.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.78%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-30 03:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.21%E -0.775%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.55%E -0.898%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -2.55%E -0.898%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.55%E -0.898%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 03:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -3.58%E -1.27%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 03:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.92%E -1.40%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.81%EV -4.61%E -1.66%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.19%EV -6.72%E -4.74%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 06:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -5.30%E -1.92%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 06:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.44%E -2.34%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-30 04:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 05:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.10%E -2.81%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 06:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 06:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 06:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 06:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 05:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 16:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 15:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.64%E -2.05%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 05:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 15:21 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.07%E -4.24%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-30 06:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.72%E -4.74%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 06:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.04%E -5.74%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-29 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -7.35%E -2.72%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -10.67%E -7.84%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-29 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.87%EV -7.70%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.13%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 12:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.75%E -3.28%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.92%EV -9.07%E -3.42%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -10.67%E -7.84%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-29 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.10%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.10%E -3.85%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.41%E -3.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.78%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.79%E -4.15%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.78%E -1.88%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 0.2% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 06:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 06:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05% | 3.0% | 2026-09-30 06:35 |