Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.15
assuming max odds 7.32
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linda Noskova (Local): 84.49%; Viktorija Golubic (Visit): 15.51%. For Viktorija Golubic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.45. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.56%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -7.06%E -6.42%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +13.56%E +1.85%K +2.15%G +0.291% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -7.06%E -6.42%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV +13.56%E +1.85%K +2.15%G +0.291% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 23:41 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +8.60%E +1.23%K +1.43%G +0.123% | 3.6% | 2026-10-04 05:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.06%E -6.42%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.60%E +1.23%K +1.43%G +0.123% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 05:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.06%E -6.42%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.60%E +1.23%K +1.43%G +0.123% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 03:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.07%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.98I 14.33%NM 13.93%EV +8.28%E +1.19%K +1.39%G +0.115% | 2.8% | 2026-10-03 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -7.06%E -6.42%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +7.82%E +1.13%K +1.31%G +0.103% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 05:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -6.22%E -5.60%K -56.55%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV +5.49%E +0.808%K +0.947%G +0.052% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.22%E -5.60%K -56.55%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.94%E +0.588%K +0.691%G +0.027% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 05:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.22%E -5.60%K -56.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.838%E +0.129%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 05:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.22%E -5.60%K -56.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.838%E +0.129%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 05:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.22%E -5.60%K -56.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.838%E +0.129%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 05:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -7.91%E -7.26%K -87.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +0.838%E +0.129%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.04%E -0.486%K -0.579%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 03:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.82%E -0.615%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 15:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -3.82%E -0.615%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -3.82%E -0.615%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 16:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -3.82%E -0.615%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 17:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.37%E -0.880%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 06:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -5.37%E -0.880%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-04 05:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.50%EV -6.22%E -5.60%K -56.55%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.50%EV -6.14%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.22%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.78%EV -6.45%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 08:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 01:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 23:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 12:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.06%E -6.42%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 05:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.91%E -7.26%K -87.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.92%E -1.15%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-04 06:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.59%EV -2.84%E -2.47%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 5.86I 17.06%NM 16.41%EV -9.09%E -1.55%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -9.25%E -1.58%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 06:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.82%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -10.02%E -1.73%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 06:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -10.80%E -1.88%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 02:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -2.84%E -2.47%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -13.90%E -2.50%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.68%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 06:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.68%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 06:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.68%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 06:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -3.69%E -3.23%K -26.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -14.68%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 06:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -14.68%E -2.67%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -16.23%E -3.00%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.53%E -4.01%K -34.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -16.23%E -3.00%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 08:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.67%EV -7.91%E -7.26%K -87.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.33%EV -19.33%E -3.72%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 17:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.43%E -4.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 06:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.38%E -4.80%K -44.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.43%E -4.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-04 06:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -7.06%E -6.42%K -70.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -22.43%E -4.49%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.91% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 13.09% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 06:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 87.54% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46% | 2.9% | 2026-10-04 06:20 |