Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Linda Noskova (Local): 74.80%; Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit): 25.20%. For Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.82%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -10.23%E -8.53%K -51.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +5.82%E +1.39%K +1.82%G +0.106% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 12:17 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.79%E +0.443%K +0.589%G +0.011% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +1.79%E +0.443%K +0.589%G +0.011% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.47%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.53%EV +1.54%E +0.382%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.782%E +0.196%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.782%E +0.196%K +0.261%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.71%EV -0.982%E -0.250%K -0.335%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-02 04:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.74%E -0.446%K -0.599%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.90%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.00%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.00%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 14:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.00%E -0.779%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 04:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 04:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.24%E -5.84%K -30.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.74%E -7.16%K -39.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -4.26%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 15:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 02:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 02:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 05:16 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.52%E -1.47%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 04:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 04:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 05:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.78%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV -7.03%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 05:17 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.04%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -8.04%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.75%E -4.56%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.04%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 05:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -8.29%E -2.28%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 04:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 04:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 04:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 04:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.00%E -3.94%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -9.30%E -2.58%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -9.49%E -7.84%K -45.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.56%E -2.97%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-01 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.01%E -1.53%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.75%E -2.12%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.50%E -2.71%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.82%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.08%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.25%E -3.32%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -13.08%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 14:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -6.49%E -5.20%K -25.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -16.85%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 05:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 05:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 05:05 |