Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee v Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

Kickoff: 2026-10-01 10:50 UTC

Final: Lanlana Tararudee 0–2 Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lanlana Tararudee (Local)

Prediction 51.27%1.95fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.31%51.35%53.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.851.9157.14%54.13%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit)

Prediction 48.73%2.05fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.535%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.86%48.69%48.65%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.932.0354.64%51.64%51.81%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lanlana Tararudee (Local): 51.27%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 48.73%. For Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.03, with an expected value of -1.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 10:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.07%E -1.08%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 09:55
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.09%E -1.64%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.55%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-01 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 02:25
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.50%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 02:25
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.98%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 13:15
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 09:59
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.12%E -2.20%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 09:59
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.92%EV -4.63%E -2.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:05
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.50%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 03:10
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.50%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 10:49
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.50%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 07:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.50%E -2.29%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 01:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 10:48
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 06:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 06:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 06:40
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 10:04
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.98%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 06:40
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:45
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.96%E -3.09%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 10:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.45%E -3.36%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 10:05
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 05:10
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 05:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-01 05:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.14%E -2.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.91%E -4.18%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.55%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-29 05:24
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.55%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 10:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.55%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.55%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 10:25
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.98%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 05:10
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 05:10
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 10:48
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 10:48
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 13:24
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.17%E -3.37%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.93%E -3.63%K -7.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 05:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.68%E -3.67%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.47%E -2.82%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-29 15:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.55%E -1.27%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:44
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.71%E -4.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.42%E -3.91%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 09:46
GTbets🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -1.09%E -0.535%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-28 18:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.55%EV -8.22%E -4.59%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.45%EV -10.83%E -5.92%K -13.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-29 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.98%E -2.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-30 19:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -10.27%E -5.87%K -13.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.86%E -5.33%K -11.60%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-01 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-10-01 10:40
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-10-01 10:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-10-01 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-10-01 10:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-10-01 10:45
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%2.0%2026-10-01 10:45