Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.74
assuming max odds 2.27
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Volynets (Local): 55.83%; Robin Montgomery (Visit): 44.17%. For Robin Montgomery (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.272%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%EV +0.272%E +0.120%K +0.214%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-10-01 00:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.611%E -0.272%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 00:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.611%E -0.272%K -0.489%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%EV -1.05%E -0.470%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.05%E -0.470%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -1.05%E -0.470%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 00:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.82%E -1.28%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.15%E -1.91%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.54%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.59%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.59%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 01:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 01:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-30 22:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 22:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%EV -5.47%E -2.56%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 02:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -6.35%E -3.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -8.44%E -5.15%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -6.35%E -3.00%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 02:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 12:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.86%E -1.64%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 02:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.42%E -1.98%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.54%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-30 21:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 21:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 13:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 13:37 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -7.33%E -4.41%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -11.65%E -5.83%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-30 08:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -12.10%E -6.08%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 02:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89% | 1.8% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86% | 2.3% | 2026-10-01 02:55 |