Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Volynets v Elise Mertens

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 03:03 UTC

Final: Katie Volynets 1–2 Elise Mertens

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Volynets (Local)

Prediction 47.37%2.11fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.479%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.99%47.29%47.37%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.861.992.002.0953.76%50.30%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Elise Mertens (Visit)

Prediction 52.63%1.90fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.71%52.63%54.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.801.801.8559.17%55.51%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Volynets (Local): 47.37%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 52.63%. For Katie Volynets (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.09, with an expected value of -1.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -1.00%E -0.479%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.32%E -3.55%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-02 20:14
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -1.00%E -0.479%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.32%E -3.55%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-02 20:15
BetAnything🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -1.00%E -0.479%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -6.32%E -3.55%K -8.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-02 20:15
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -1.95%E -0.941%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 10:55
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.90%E -1.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.63%E -1.42%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-03 00:35
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -2.90%E -1.41%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 10:59
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.74%E -2.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 04:39
GTbets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.32%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 08:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.79%E -2.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.74%E -2.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 22:04
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.79%E -2.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.74%E -2.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 02:10
Betsson🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.79%E -2.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.74%E -2.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.79%E -2.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.74%E -2.62%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 15:45
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.11%EV -4.79%E -2.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.16%E -1.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-02 06:50
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 11:25
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 00:32
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.21%E -2.31%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 02:50
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.21%E -2.31%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 02:49
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 15:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 02:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 12:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 17:09
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 23:00
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 15:08
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 15:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 13:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 05:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 10:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.95%E -5.17%K -12.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-02 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -5.26%E -2.63%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -9.47%E -5.51%K -13.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-01 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.74%E -2.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.79%E -3.23%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -5.74%E -2.88%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -8.95%E -5.17%K -12.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 02:45
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 15:10
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.21%E -3.14%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -6.32%E -3.55%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-02 06:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.68%E -3.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.68%E -3.39%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-02 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:49
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 20:50
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.16%E -3.65%K -7.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-01 16:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.68%E -2.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 20:50
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 15:57
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 16:24
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.26%E -2.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 16:25
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-01 08:44
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.63%E -3.91%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-01 08:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -10.95%E -5.82%K -12.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.79%EV -7.89%E -4.51%K -10.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-01 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.61%EV -11.90%E -6.40%K -13.83%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.39%EV -11.05%E -6.54%K -16.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-03 02:46
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-10-03 02:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-10-03 02:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-10-03 02:55
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-10-03 02:55
ProphetX◎2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%1.4%2026-10-03 01:50
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%2.0%2026-10-03 02:55