Language:English
Katerina Siniakova v Elina Svitolina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katerina Siniakova (Local)
Prediction 24.69%4.05fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.301%
Kelly +0.399%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.22%24.77%24.51%27.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.793.804.1029.41%26.42%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elina Svitolina (Visit)
Prediction 75.31%1.33fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -7.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.94%75.23%75.49%76.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.261.271.3082.64%79.17%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katerina Siniakova (Local): 24.69%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 75.31%. For Katerina Siniakova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +1.24%E +0.301%K +0.399%G +0.005% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-03 06:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.24%E +0.301%K +0.399%G +0.005% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.24%E +0.301%K +0.399%G +0.005% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 19:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.23%E -0.308%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.23%E -0.308%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 05:56 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.23%E -0.308%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 04:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -1.23%E -0.308%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -1.23%E -0.308%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.12%E -6.66%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.47%E -0.625%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 06:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.47%E -0.625%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 06:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -2.47%E -0.625%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 06:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.71%EV -2.96%E -0.754%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.29%EV -2.85%E -2.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.70%E -0.949%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.70%E -0.949%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 04:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.70%E -0.949%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 06:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV -4.44%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.00%EV -2.85%E -2.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 15:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.62%E -5.34%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-03 06:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.12%E -6.66%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 20:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -7.65%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 05:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 02:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.36%E -3.43%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.14%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -2.10%E -1.61%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 05:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -9.14%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -2.10%E -1.61%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 05:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -9.88%E -2.71%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -2.85%E -2.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 05:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.85%E -2.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.85%E -2.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.85%E -2.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.85%E -2.21%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 05:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 17:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.11%E -4.06%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 16:06 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 08:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.86%E -4.69%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 08:08 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.34%E -3.48%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.12%E -6.66%K -36.93%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-01 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.81%E -4.29%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -14.81%E -4.29%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.61%E -2.82%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -16.05%E -4.72%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -8.88%E -7.34%K -42.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 1.4% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 1.9% | 2026-10-03 06:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 3.2% | 2026-10-03 06:05 |