Language:English
Jasmine Paolini v Daria Snigur
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Prediction 55.56%1.80fair odd
EV +0.559%
Edge +0.309%
Kelly +0.691%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.50%55.70%58.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.711.711.8164.10%58.55%58.48%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daria Snigur (Visit)
Prediction 44.44%2.25fair odd
EV -0.005%
Edge -0.002%
Kelly -0.004%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.56%44.50%44.30%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.102.2550.00%47.13%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 55.56%; Daria Snigur (Visit): 44.44%. For Jasmine Paolini (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.81, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.559%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV +0.559%E +0.309%K +0.691%G +0.004% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 05:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV +0.559%E +0.309%K +0.691%G +0.004% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -9.78%E -4.82%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 05:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV +0.559%E +0.309%K +0.691%G +0.004% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -9.78%E -4.82%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 05:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.004%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 05:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -0.552%E -0.308%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -8.00%E -3.87%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -0.552%E -0.308%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 05:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -0.552%E -0.308%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -9.78%E -4.82%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 05:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.66%E -0.940%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 05:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.66%E -0.940%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 05:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -10.23%E -5.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -2.77%E -1.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -10.23%E -5.06%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.33%E -1.91%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.33%E -1.91%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.89%E -4.34%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-01 23:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 23:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 05:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 05:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.89%E -2.25%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.12%E -5.56%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.44%E -2.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.00%E -2.92%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -5.00%E -2.92%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -5.78%E -2.73%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 05:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.55%E -3.27%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.23%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 21:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.55%E -3.27%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.56%E -1.64%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 02:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.55%E -3.27%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 05:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.11%E -3.61%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 05:32 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.11%E -3.61%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 21:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.66%E -3.97%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.23%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 04:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.66%E -3.97%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.23%E -1.01%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 00:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -7.22%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 19:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.22%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 23:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.22%E -4.32%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 23:12 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.894%E -0.401%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.894%E -0.401%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.894%E -0.401%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.894%E -0.401%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.894%E -0.401%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.894%E -0.401%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.894%E -0.401%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.894%E -0.401%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -3.12%E -1.43%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 23:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.77%E -4.68%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 21:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.33%E -5.05%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.33%E -5.05%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.45%E -2.07%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.11%E -6.94%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -0.005%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 05:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -12.77%E -8.14%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-02 00:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -13.33%E -8.54%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -6.67%E -3.18%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-10-02 05:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.78% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.22% | 1.3% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21% | 1.8% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |