Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Janice Tjen v Diana Shnaider

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 03:04 UTC

Final: Janice Tjen 0–2 Diana Shnaider

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Prediction 29.37%3.40fair odd
EV +2.80%
Edge +0.799%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%29.33%29.48%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.243.253.5033.90%30.86%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visit)

Prediction 70.63%1.42fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -6.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.13%70.67%70.52%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.341.331.3878.13%74.75%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Janice Tjen (Local): 29.37%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 70.63%. For Janice Tjen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +2.80%E +0.799%K +1.12%G +0.031%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.18%E -6.29%K -27.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-02 02:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +1.33%E +0.385%K +0.542%G +0.007%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 00:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV +1.33%E +0.385%K +0.542%G +0.007%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 00:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.141%E -0.042%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 12:45
BetAnything🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.141%E -0.042%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-02 00:40
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.141%E -0.042%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 02:55
Pinnacle🎯3.39I 29.50%NM 28.63%EV -0.435%E -0.128%K -0.182%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.37%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-02 00:10
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.36%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
Unibet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
BetRivers🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
Casumo🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
betPARX🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.61%E -0.481%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 12:45
SportsBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -1.90%E -0.570%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -3.08%E -0.933%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.24%E -2.36%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-01 14:05
GTbets🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.08%E -0.933%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.36%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 10:36
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.08%E -0.933%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:00
theScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.08%E -0.933%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -7.48%E -5.71%K -24.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-30 10:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -3.67%E -1.12%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 02:08
1xBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.25%E -1.30%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.36%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 02:10
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 17:45
Coolbet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 02:49
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.55%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 19:20
DraftKings🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.48%EV -5.13%E -1.59%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.52%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-01 08:20
ReBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-02 02:05
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 22:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 02:50
Fanatics🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-02 01:20
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 14:05
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.36%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-02 01:55
TAB🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.77%E -5.13%K -21.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-01 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.02%E -1.88%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.18%E -6.29%K -27.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-30 10:39
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.48%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 02:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -7.48%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -5.36%E -4.00%K -15.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 14:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -7.48%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -7.48%E -5.71%K -24.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-02 02:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -7.48%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -9.59%E -7.50%K -34.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-30 10:50
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 02:50
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 02:50
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 02:50
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-02 02:50
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:30
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -8.95%E -2.89%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -4.65%E -3.44%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 14:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -10.42%E -3.42%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.44%EV -9.59%E -7.50%K -34.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-02 00:01
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.94%E -2.90%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 12:17
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-01 03:10
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.89%E -3.96%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.06%E -4.56%K -18.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-01 03:15
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.53%E -1.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -13.36%E -4.53%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -2.53%E -1.83%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-10-02 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-10-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-10-02 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-10-02 02:00
ProphetX◎3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-10-02 00:01
Smarkets◎3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16%2.6%2026-10-01 20:50