Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Janice Tjen v Anhelina Kalinina

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 03:05 UTC

Final: Janice Tjen 2–1 Anhelina Kalinina

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Janice Tjen (Local)

Prediction 51.33%1.95fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.752%
Kelly -1.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%51.29%51.32%52.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.861.861.9257.47%53.72%53.76%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anhelina Kalinina (Visit)

Prediction 48.67%2.05fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.04%48.71%48.68%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.921.922.0055.25%52.02%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Janice Tjen (Local): 51.33%; Anhelina Kalinina (Visit): 48.67%. For Janice Tjen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.92, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.752%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -6.56%E -3.41%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-29 05:40
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-29 23:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 05:39
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 06:05
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-29 11:50
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 03:00
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:14
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:14
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:14
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:15
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:14
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:14
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -8.50%E -4.52%K -9.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -1.96%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.99%E -4.81%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-29 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.53%E -3.96%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 07:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 20:05
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.50%E -1.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 11:30
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-28 17:14
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-29 16:40
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 01:21
GTbets🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 09:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.07%E -3.14%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 21:10
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.01%E -2.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.07%E -3.14%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 02:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 02:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 02:40
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 02:35
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 16:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 16:29
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 16:34
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 16:34
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.07%E -3.14%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.56%E -3.41%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-29 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.72%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.96%E -5.38%K -11.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-29 12:10
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-29 12:20
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.66%E -1.33%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-29 21:13
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.15%E -1.58%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-29 22:03
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 10:14
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 23:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -11.91%E -6.58%K -14.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-29 10:15
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.58%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-29 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.58%E -3.61%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.58%E -2.88%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-29 10:19
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-30 03:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.61%E -2.35%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-29 15:25
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-30 02:59
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.10%E -2.61%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 10:14
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.04%E -3.69%K -7.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 10:15
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.53%E -3.96%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-29 13:39
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.53%E -3.96%K -8.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-29 13:37
Betclic (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.96%EV -10.17%E -5.81%K -13.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -4.12%E -2.09%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-30 02:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.80%EV -10.68%E -6.14%K -14.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%EV -8.99%E -4.81%K -10.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-29 12:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-09-30 02:20
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-09-30 03:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-09-30 03:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-09-30 03:00
ProphetX◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.25%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.75%1.0%2026-09-30 03:00
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62%2.3%2026-09-30 03:00