Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.26
assuming max odds 5.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 77.77%; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit): 22.23%. For Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.50. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.38%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -9.01%E -7.70%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +13.38%E +2.62%K +3.26%G +0.437% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 04:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -9.01%E -7.70%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +13.38%E +2.62%K +3.26%G +0.437% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 04:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -8.23%E -6.98%K -45.74%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV +6.71%E +1.40%K +1.77%G +0.118% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 04:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.19%EV -4.34%E -3.53%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 4.68I 21.37%NM 20.81%EV +4.04%E +0.864%K +1.10%G +0.044% | 2.7% | 2026-10-05 04:31 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:16 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:16 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:16 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:16 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -9.79%E -8.44%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +2.26%E +0.492%K +0.629%G +0.014% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 04:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.90%E -4.88%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.45%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.55%EV -1.29%E -0.291%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 04:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -2.18%E -0.496%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.01%E -7.70%K -53.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -2.18%E -0.496%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 03:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -3.74%E -0.863%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.74%E -0.863%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.74%E -0.863%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-03 19:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 04:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 03:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.90%E -4.88%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 04:31 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.57%E -2.88%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -5.52%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 04:56 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.52%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 04:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.52%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 07:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -5.52%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 08:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.90%E -4.88%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -5.52%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 02:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.70%EV -10.57%E -9.19%K -70.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -5.52%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.34%E -3.53%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.34%E -3.53%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 08:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.34%E -3.53%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.34%E -3.53%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 08:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.34%E -3.53%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 08:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 15:21 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 15:21 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-04 01:32 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.68%E -5.56%K -33.39%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.63%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 04:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.79%E -2.23%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -8.85%E -2.16%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 03:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.85%E -2.16%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.85%E -2.16%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -8.85%E -2.16%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 08:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.79%E -2.23%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -11.08%E -2.77%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 03:26 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -11.08%E -2.77%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 20:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -2.79%E -2.23%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -13.30%E -3.41%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 04:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.01%E -1.60%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -14.41%E -3.74%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 04:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.63%E -4.44%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 04:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.12%E -4.20%K -23.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.63%E -4.44%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 04:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -7.46%E -6.26%K -39.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.09%EV -16.63%E -4.44%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-04 08:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.13%EV -9.79%E -8.44%K -61.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -17.74%E -4.80%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-05 04:51 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-10-05 03:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-10-05 04:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53% | 1.5% | 2026-10-05 04:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 2.1% | 2026-10-05 04:45 |