Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović v Harriet Dart

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 08:37 UTC

Final: Iva Jović 2–1 Harriet Dart

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović (Local)

Prediction 88.48%1.13fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -3.27%
Kelly -39.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.89%88.50%88.55%90.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.09%92.59%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Harriet Dart (Visit)

Prediction 11.52%8.68fair odd
EV +18.11%
Edge +1.77%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.355%

assuming max odds 10.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.29%11.50%11.45%15.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.908.088.0010.2516.95%12.37%12.50%9.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 88.48%; Harriet Dart (Visit): 11.52%. For Harriet Dart (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.68. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -7.10%E -6.76%K -141.99%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV +18.11%E +1.77%K +1.96%G +0.355%5.0%2026-10-03 07:55
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -6.21%E -5.86%K -103.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +15.23%E +1.52%K +1.69%G +0.258%4.3%2026-10-03 07:50
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -6.21%E -5.86%K -103.58%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +14.08%E +1.42%K +1.58%G +0.223%4.4%2026-10-03 07:54
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -6.21%E -5.86%K -103.58%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV +10.62%E +1.11%K +1.24%G +0.131%4.8%2026-10-03 08:20
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.21%E -5.86%K -103.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +9.47%E +0.997%K +1.11%G +0.106%4.9%2026-10-03 07:55
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.21%E -5.86%K -103.58%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +9.47%E +0.997%K +1.11%G +0.106%4.9%2026-10-03 08:01
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +3.71%E +0.412%K +0.464%G +0.017%3.7%2026-10-03 05:00
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.28%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.99I 11.12%NM 10.72%EV +3.59%E +0.400%K +0.450%G +0.016%3.7%2026-10-03 07:50
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +0.828%E +0.095%K +0.107%G +0.001%4.9%2026-10-03 06:10
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.05%E -0.241%K -0.274%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 01:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -2.05%E -0.241%K -0.274%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 07:50
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -2.17%E -0.255%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 06:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -2.17%E -0.255%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -2.17%E -0.255%K -0.289%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-03 00:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -4.36%E -0.525%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 07:50
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -4.36%E -0.525%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 07:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -4.36%E -0.525%K -0.597%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-03 08:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.52%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -4.93%E -0.598%K -0.680%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 08:24
ReBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -5.51%E -0.672%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 07:50
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -5.51%E -0.672%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 07:50
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -5.51%E -0.672%K -0.765%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 07:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -7.98%E -7.68%K -199.60%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -5.51%E -0.672%K -0.765%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-03 00:25
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV -6.66%E -0.822%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 08:05
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 08:05
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 19:59
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 20:00
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 19:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 20:00
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 19:59
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 19:59
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 20:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 19:59
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 20:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-02 19:59
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-03 08:05
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 07:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.81%E -0.977%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 07:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -10.70%E -1.38%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-03 05:00
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.58%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 07:50
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.58%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 00:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.58%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 07:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.58%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 07:50
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.58%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.58%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.58%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 16:40
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.45%E -4.12%K -55.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -13.58%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-03 07:50
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -13.58%E -1.81%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.56%E -3.27%K -39.56%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -17.03%E -2.37%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 00:25
betano_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.34%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 08:10
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.33%E -4.98%K -76.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -19.34%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 08:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -7.98%E -7.68%K -199.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -19.34%E -2.76%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-02 20:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.56%E -3.27%K -39.56%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -21.64%E -3.18%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 16:39
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -3.56%E -3.27%K -39.56%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -21.64%E -3.18%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 84.89%EV -7.10%E -6.76%K -141.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.11%EV -32.01%E -5.43%K -6.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-03 08:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-10-03 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-10-03 06:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-10-03 08:05
Matchbook◎1.09I 91.74%NM 90.98%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.02%0.8%2026-10-03 08:15
ProphetX◎1.08I 92.59%NM 90.75%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.25%2.0%2026-10-03 08:15
Smarkets◎1.07I 93.46%NM 90.75%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.25%3.0%2026-10-03 08:15