Language:English
Harriet Dart v Yihan Qu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Harriet Dart (Local)
Prediction 90.93%1.10fair odd
EV -3.61%
Edge -3.41%
Kelly -60.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.85%90.78%90.99%92.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0699.01%95.61%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yihan Qu (Visit)
Prediction 9.07%11.03fair odd
EV +18.81%
Edge +1.44%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.292%
assuming max odds 13.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.42%9.22%9.01%13.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.0010.1710.0013.1014.29%9.83%10.00%7.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Harriet Dart (Local): 90.93%; Yihan Qu (Visit): 9.07%. For Yihan Qu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 11.03. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.58%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 13.10I 7.63%NM 7.42%EV +18.81%E +1.44%K +1.55%G +0.292% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +17.90%E +1.38%K +1.49%G +0.267% | 2.9% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +8.84%E +0.736%K +0.803%G +0.071% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 02:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.34%E -6.16%K -211.39%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +8.84%E +0.736%K +0.803%G +0.071% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.57%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.43%EV +2.49%E +0.220%K +0.241%G +0.006% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 07:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.234%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 07:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -0.234%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.234%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.234%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.234%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.234%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.234%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.234%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -8.16%E -8.08%K -816.03%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -0.234%E -0.021%K -0.023%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.30%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.92I 9.16%NM 8.70%EV -0.960%E -0.088%K -0.097%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -2.05%E -0.190%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 02:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -2.23%E -0.207%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.20%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.78I 9.28%NM 8.80%EV -2.23%E -0.207%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV -2.96%E -0.276%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 07:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.77%E -0.454%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 02:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -4.77%E -0.454%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.77%E -0.454%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 02:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -4.77%E -0.454%K -0.502%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -7.04%E -0.686%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.76%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.22I 9.78%NM 9.24%EV -7.31%E -0.715%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-01 07:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.61%E -3.41%K -60.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.61%E -3.41%K -60.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.61%E -3.41%K -60.23%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 14:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 14:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:42 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 09:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -9.30%E -0.930%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 08:03 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.41%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.59%EV -10.21%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 04:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.41%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.59%EV -10.21%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 04:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.43%E -5.22%K -135.81%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -13.84%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 22:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -16.11%E -1.74%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.41%K -60.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.37%E -2.04%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.61%E -3.41%K -60.23%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -18.37%E -2.04%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 06:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -18.37%E -2.04%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 14:42 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.91%EV -8.16%E -8.08%K -816.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -18.37%E -2.04%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 21:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -20.64%E -2.36%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.29%EV -4.52%E -4.31%K -90.46%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.71%EV -20.64%E -2.36%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.48%EV -6.34%E -6.16%K -211.39%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.52%EV -34.70%E -4.82%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-01 02:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -3.61%E -3.41%K -60.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -36.51%E -5.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -3.61%E -3.41%K -60.23%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -36.51%E -5.22%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-30 12:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.24% | 17.01I 5.88%NM 5.76% | 2.0% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.25% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.75% | 2.1% | 2026-10-01 08:05 |