Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eva Lys v Sun Xinran

Kickoff: 2026-10-01 11:06 UTC

Final: Eva Lys 0–1 Sun Xinran

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Eva Lys (Local)

Prediction 68.69%1.46fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.61%68.64%70.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.54%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sun Xinran (Visit)

Prediction 31.31%3.19fair odd
EV +0.190%
Edge +0.059%
Kelly +0.086%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%31.39%31.36%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.2036.36%33.35%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eva Lys (Local): 68.69%; Sun Xinran (Visit): 31.31%. For Sun Xinran (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.190%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV +0.190%E +0.059%K +0.086%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-01 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -1.06%E -0.336%K -0.492%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 10:00
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.38%E -0.437%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 10:00
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -2.63%E -0.845%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-01 10:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.94%E -0.949%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-01 10:39
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.94%E -0.949%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 10:14
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.949%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 02:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.949%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.33%E -7.07%K -29.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.94%E -0.949%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 10:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.88%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-01 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.88%E -1.26%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-01 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.51%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 10:20
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.51%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.51%E -1.48%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 10:10
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -4.82%E -1.59%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -5.13%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 11:00
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -5.45%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-01 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -5.45%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 10:25
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-01 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 10:45
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.52%E -3.25%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-01 10:29
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 11:00
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:35
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-01 08:20
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 10:25
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 10:00
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.38%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 02:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.38%K -20.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-01 02:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -7.95%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-01 10:49
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 10:30
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 10:30
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.83%E -2.74%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 02:15
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 02:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.20%E -3.17%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 02:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 10:14
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.83%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-01 10:13
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -7.95%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -10.77%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-01 10:25
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 11:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -7.95%E -5.94%K -23.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -13.90%E -5.05%K -7.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-01 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-01 10:20
Matchbook◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-01 10:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-10-01 10:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-01 11:00
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-10-01 11:00
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%2.7%2026-10-01 11:00