Language:English
Elsa Jacquemot v Magdalena Frech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Elsa Jacquemot (Local)
Prediction 29.92%3.34fair odd
EV +6.50%
Edge +1.83%
Kelly +2.54%
Growth +0.165%
assuming max odds 3.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.75%29.86%29.91%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.133.103.5635.09%31.93%32.26%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visit)
Prediction 70.08%1.43fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -8.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.14%70.09%73.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.361.3876.92%73.91%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elsa Jacquemot (Local): 29.92%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 70.08%. For Elsa Jacquemot (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.50%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV +6.50%E +1.83%K +2.54%G +0.165% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 11:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV +6.20%E +1.75%K +2.43%G +0.151% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -8.19%E -6.25%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 11:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +4.70%E +1.34%K +1.88%G +0.089% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-30 11:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +1.71%E +0.504%K +0.714%G +0.012% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 11:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV +1.11%E +0.330%K +0.468%G +0.005% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.31%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 11:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.98%EV -2.48%E -0.759%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.77%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.77%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.77%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 11:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.77%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.77%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.77%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.77%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.77%E -0.854%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 11:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 11:37 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.27%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.09%E -4.54%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.57%E -1.43%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.87%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 11:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.47%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.98%E -2.91%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.77%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 11:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 11:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-30 11:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.09%E -4.54%K -17.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 11:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.26%E -2.34%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.49%E -5.67%K -23.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-30 11:36 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.28%E -2.38%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.69%E -3.45%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-30 11:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.25%E -3.42%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.89%E -6.84%K -29.63%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-30 06:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.75%E -3.98%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.39%E -3.99%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 17:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.82%EV -14.74%E -5.17%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -5.10%K -20.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-30 08:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-09-30 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-30 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-30 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-30 11:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-30 11:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 2.0% | 2026-09-30 11:35 |