Language:English
Ekaterina Alexandrova v Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)
Prediction 58.61%1.71fair odd
EV +9.60%
Edge +5.13%
Kelly +11.03%
Growth +1.06%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%58.12%58.73%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.621.621.8765.36%61.73%61.73%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit)
Prediction 41.39%2.42fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%41.88%41.27%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.282.302.3553.48%43.89%43.48%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 58.61%; Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Visit): 41.39%. For Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +9.60%E +5.13%K +11.03%G +1.06% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -22.60%E -12.08%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-02 05:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 23:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.87%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.01%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.13%E -1.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.01%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.63%E -2.47%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-01 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.94%E -4.06%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.01%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.30%E -2.00%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -11.01%E -5.12%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-01 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.88%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.73%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.88%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.38%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 10:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -3.88%E -2.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -6.04%E -2.66%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.47%E -2.74%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.87%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 23:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.38%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 05:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.38%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.38%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.38%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -4.38%E -1.90%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 04:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 04:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 04:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 23:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.87%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 21:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.87%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 21:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.87%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 12:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.87%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.06%E -3.12%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.94%E -4.06%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 04:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.73%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.73%E -1.16%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.64%E -3.50%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.56%E -1.53%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 11:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -3.97%E -1.71%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 04:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.23%E -3.89%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.87%E -3.05%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.48%EV -8.57%E -5.49%K -15.31%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.52%EV -5.21%E -2.28%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.16%E -5.91%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.80%E -2.09%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 04:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.15%EV -9.74%E -6.33%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.85%EV -7.70%E -3.45%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-30 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.33%E -6.75%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -8.94%E -4.06%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-02 00:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 05:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 05:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 05:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 05:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 05:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 2.3% | 2026-10-02 05:15 |