Language:English
Donna Vekic v Iga Swiatek
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Donna Vekic (Local)
Prediction 12.68%7.88fair odd
EV +14.14%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.250%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.71%12.86%12.69%15.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.907.457.509.0016.95%13.42%13.33%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visit)
Prediction 87.32%1.15fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -18.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.51%87.14%87.31%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.081.081.1296.15%92.28%92.59%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Donna Vekic (Local): 12.68%; Iga Swiatek (Visit): 87.32%. For Donna Vekic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.88. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +14.14%E +1.57%K +1.77%G +0.250% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +7.80%E +0.918%K +1.04%G +0.081% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 03:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 21:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:56 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:56 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:56 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +1.46%E +0.182%K +0.208%G +0.003% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.97I 12.55%NM 12.13%EV +1.08%E +0.135%K +0.155%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.87%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.84I 12.76%NM 12.21%EV -0.571%E -0.073%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.79%EV -4.82%E -4.43%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -1.71%E -0.221%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -3.23%E -0.424%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -4.82%E -4.43%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -3.49%E -0.458%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -3.49%E -0.458%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -3.61%E -0.476%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.82%E -4.43%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.82%E -4.43%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 22:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.82%E -4.43%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.82%E -4.43%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 02:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -4.88%E -0.651%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.57%E -6.14%K -93.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.53%EV -6.15%E -0.831%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.47%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -124.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -7.42%E -1.02%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.82%E -4.43%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.05%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -8.05%E -1.11%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 15:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -8.69%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.82%E -4.43%K -53.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -8.69%E -1.21%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -124.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-04 16:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.52%EV -9.96%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.48%EV -3.08%E -2.77%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 01:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 7.10I 14.08%NM 12.99%EV -9.96%E -1.40%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.01%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -124.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -11.22%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.08%E -2.77%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.22%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 15:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.22%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 02:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.22%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -11.22%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-04 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -11.22%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.70%E -5.27%K -71.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 13:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -11.22%E -1.60%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.06%EV -9.19%E -8.84%K -229.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -15.03%E -2.24%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -3.08%E -2.77%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -17.56%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -3.08%E -2.77%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -17.56%E -2.70%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 15:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.41%EV -22.00%E -3.58%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.59%EV -2.20%E -1.97%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -23.91%E -3.98%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 02:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -23.91%E -3.98%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -3.95%E -3.59%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 02:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -23.91%E -3.98%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 84.99%EV -7.44%E -7.02%K -124.05%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.99%EV -25.17%E -4.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.01%EV -9.19%E -8.84%K -229.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-05 02:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 02:31 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 02:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 02:51 |
| ProphetX◎ | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.80% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.20% | 2.1% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.59% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.41% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 03:01 |