Language:English
Dayana Yastremska v Maja Chwalinska
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dayana Yastremska (Local)
Prediction 39.70%2.52fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.624%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.46%39.78%39.67%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.382.4844.44%42.32%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maja Chwalinska (Visit)
Prediction 60.30%1.66fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%60.22%60.33%61.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.581.581.6267.57%63.38%63.29%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dayana Yastremska (Local): 39.70%; Maja Chwalinska (Visit): 60.30%. For Dayana Yastremska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.48, with an expected value of -1.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -1.55%E -0.624%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.74%E -1.12%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -3.14%E -1.29%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 20:03 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.33%E -1.80%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 03:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 04:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.12%E -2.59%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-01 20:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 03:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 03:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.72%E -1.97%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 20:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -5.12%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 03:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.72%EV -5.12%E -2.14%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.28%EV -8.94%E -5.92%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 03:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 09:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.74%E -5.06%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -6.31%E -2.67%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 03:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.71%E -2.85%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 03:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.71%E -2.85%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-01 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.85%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.71%E -2.85%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.71%E -2.85%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.93%E -3.80%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.71%E -2.85%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.34%E -5.49%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-01 15:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -7.50%E -3.22%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 03:56 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 20:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -2.91%E -1.81%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-01 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.52%E -2.20%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 04:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.72%E -2.99%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.33%E -3.39%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 03:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.53%E -4.21%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-01 20:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -8.69%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -10.75%E -7.27%K -22.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 00:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.31%E -1.43%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 17:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-10-02 04:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 04:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 04:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 04:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 04:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.4% | 2026-10-02 04:01 |