Language:English
Darja Vidmanova v Maria Timofeeva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Darja Vidmanova (Local)
Prediction 43.89%2.28fair odd
EV +0.958%
Edge +0.417%
Kelly +0.737%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%43.75%43.97%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.162.152.3050.00%46.40%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maria Timofeeva (Visit)
Prediction 56.11%1.78fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%56.25%56.03%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.681.671.7663.69%59.41%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darja Vidmanova (Local): 43.89%; Maria Timofeeva (Visit): 56.11%. For Darja Vidmanova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.958%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +0.958%E +0.417%K +0.737%G +0.007% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -11.91%E -7.59%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 21:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.24%E -0.550%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -11.91%E -7.59%K -20.90%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 12:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -2.55%E -1.15%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 21:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-29 23:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-30 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 22:03 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.43%E -1.56%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.43%E -4.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 02:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -1.25%E -0.713%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-30 02:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.75%E -2.19%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-30 02:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -5.19%E -2.40%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -2.38%E -1.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 21:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-29 21:28 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 21:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -6.87%E -4.14%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.43%E -4.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.43%E -4.50%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 19:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.07%E -2.83%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.18%E -3.07%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.53%EV -6.50%E -3.05%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.47%EV -4.06%E -2.37%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 21:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.94%E -3.27%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-30 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.82%E -1.04%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 02:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 21:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 21:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 21:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.50%E -2.03%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 21:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.62%E -2.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.74%E -3.42%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 19:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 21:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.30%E -3.78%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 21:26 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -10.23%E -6.39%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -7.82%E -3.72%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.91%EV -10.79%E -6.79%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-29 23:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.02%E -4.89%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -10.23%E -6.39%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-30 03:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.21%E -6.11%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.94%E -1.70%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 0.5% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 0.6% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 02:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 02:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25% | 1.1% | 2026-09-30 02:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70% | 2.6% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |