Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.62
assuming max odds 2.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Snigur (Local): 61.20%; Taylah Preston (Visit): 38.80%. For Taylah Preston (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.42%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV +2.42%E +0.917%K +1.48%G +0.036% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 07:06 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV +2.03%E +0.773%K +1.25%G +0.025% | 2.5% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.07%E -0.420%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 07:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 05:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 05:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 04:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 07:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 04:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 04:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 07:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 07:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.42%E -6.36%K -19.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.40%E -1.36%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 04:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 05:21 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 03:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 07:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 07:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -6.11%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 00:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.11%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 05:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 04:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -6.50%E -2.70%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 06:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.69%E -1.69%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-04 07:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 07:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 07:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 07:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 04:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 03:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.30%E -2.09%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 03:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 09:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 03:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 06:52 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 06:57 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -6.97%E -4.59%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-03 04:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 07:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -7.58%E -5.02%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.55%E -5.06%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-03 03:36 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-03 17:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -0.850%E -0.524%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -14.65%E -6.66%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 07:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 07:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48% | 0.6% | 2026-10-04 07:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50% | 1.3% | 2026-10-04 07:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 07:05 |