Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Snigur v Mirra Andreeva

Kickoff: 2026-10-06 03:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Snigur (Local)

Prediction 16.59%6.03fair odd
EV +3.70%
Edge +0.591%
Kelly +0.704%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.42%16.66%16.43%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.605.606.2520.83%17.86%17.86%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visit)

Prediction 83.41%1.20fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -14.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%83.34%83.57%84.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.141.141.1790.91%87.96%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Snigur (Local): 16.59%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 83.41%. For Daria Snigur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.03. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.70%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +3.70%E +0.591%K +0.704%G +0.026%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-05 13:30
FanDuel🎯6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV +2.87%E +0.462%K +0.551%G +0.016%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 13:23
SportsBet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.377%E +0.062%K +0.075%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 13:25
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -0.452%E -0.075%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-05 14:50
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -0.452%E -0.075%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-05 13:35
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.452%E -0.075%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 09:00
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -0.452%E -0.075%K -0.090%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 13:25
Pinnacle🎯5.97I 16.75%NM 16.27%EV -0.950%E -0.159%K -0.191%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 83.73%EV -3.25%E -2.80%K -20.29%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-05 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 12:15
BetOnline.ag🎯5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -1.12%E -0.187%K -0.225%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 12:20
NordicBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.77%E -0.650%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 14:50
Betsson🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.77%E -0.650%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 13:35
Betclic (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.77%E -0.650%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 15:04
Coolbet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.77%E -0.650%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-05 08:50
Winamax (FR)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.77%E -0.650%K -0.786%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 12:25
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.60%E -0.800%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 12:20
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.60%E -0.800%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 08:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.60%E -0.800%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 12:25
GTbets🎯5.73I 17.45%NM 16.59%EV -4.93%E -0.861%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.41%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-05 12:30
LeoVegas🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.43%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 15:05
Fanatics🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -5.43%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 09:21
Fliff🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -5.43%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.18%EV -5.43%E -0.953%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 83.82%EV -8.25%E -7.50%K -82.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.79%EV -6.26%E -1.11%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.21%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-05 08:50
DraftKings🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 16.94%EV -6.43%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.06%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 03:30
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
Casumo🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:56
LiveScore Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
Unibet (NL)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
Grosvenor🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
Unibet (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:56
Svenska Spel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
ATG (SE)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
Bally Bet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:55
betPARX🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -7.09%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-05 09:54
1xBet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -7.92%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 15:10
Marathon Bet🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -7.92%E -1.43%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-05 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 09:55
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 04:20
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 04:25
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 04:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 04:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 09:20
TAB🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 09:00
ReBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 15:05
Caesars🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.75%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.58%E -5.88%K -54.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 08:11
theScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -10.41%E -1.93%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-05 08:50
PlayUp🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.90%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 09:00
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.90%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.08%E -3.55%K -27.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 07:55
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.90%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 07:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -12.90%E -2.46%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.91%E -4.31%K -35.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-05 07:55
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -15.38%E -3.02%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 82.26%EV -8.25%E -7.50%K -82.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-05 09:55
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.04%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 13:19
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -17.04%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.75%E -5.09%K -44.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -17.04%E -3.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.83%EV -7.42%E -6.68%K -67.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-05 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -20.36%E -4.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 07:55
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -20.36%E -4.24%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -2.41%E -2.06%K -14.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 07:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-10-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-10-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-10-05 14:25
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%0.9%2026-10-05 14:25
ProphetX◎6.30I 15.87%NM 15.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.34%1.3%2026-10-05 15:11
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%3.6%2026-10-05 15:15