Language:English
Coco Gauff v Sun Xinran
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Coco Gauff (Local)
Prediction 90.71%1.10fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -41.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.20%90.64%90.65%92.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0799.01%95.65%95.24%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sun Xinran (Visit)
Prediction 9.29%10.77fair odd
EV +20.74%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.359%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.47%9.36%9.35%11.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.7010.2710.0013.0012.99%9.74%10.00%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 90.71%; Sun Xinran (Visit): 9.29%. For Sun Xinran (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.77. 21 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +20.74%E +1.60%K +1.73%G +0.359% | 2.9% | 2026-10-03 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 3.6% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +11.46%E +0.955%K +1.04%G +0.119% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV +6.81%E +0.592%K +0.649%G +0.044% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV +5.98%E +0.524%K +0.574%G +0.034% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.57%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 11.41I 8.76%NM 8.43%EV +5.98%E +0.524%K +0.574%G +0.034% | 4.0% | 2026-10-05 09:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.64%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 11.40I 8.77%NM 8.36%EV +5.88%E +0.516%K +0.566%G +0.033% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.39%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 11.15I 8.97%NM 8.61%EV +3.56%E +0.319%K +0.351%G +0.012% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 13:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 07:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +2.17%E +0.197%K +0.217%G +0.005% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 09:18 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV -0.619%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -2.48%E -0.236%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.48%E -0.236%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -2.48%E -0.236%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.64%EV -2.94%E -2.75%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 10.36I 9.65%NM 9.36%EV -3.78%E -0.365%K -0.404%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -4.80%E -0.468%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV -5.26%E -0.516%K -0.572%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 13:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.12%E -0.712%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.38%EV -3.85%E -3.63%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 9.96I 10.04%NM 9.62%EV -7.49%E -0.752%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.45%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 9.85I 10.15%NM 9.55%EV -8.51%E -0.864%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -8.98%E -0.916%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -9.44%E -0.968%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 07:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -9.44%E -0.968%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 07:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -9.44%E -0.968%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 07:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.23%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.77%EV -9.91%E -1.02%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.06%EV -3.85%E -3.63%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.94%EV -10.84%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.31%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.69%EV -10.84%E -1.13%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 13:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.85%E -3.63%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -11.76%E -1.24%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -2.94%E -2.75%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.85%E -3.63%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.85%E -3.63%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.85%E -3.63%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.85%E -3.63%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.91%EV -8.38%E -8.30%K -838.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -16.41%E -1.82%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -3.85%E -3.63%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -21.05%E -2.48%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -5.66%E -5.44%K -141.49%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -23.84%E -2.91%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -2.94%E -2.75%K -41.97%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -25.70%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.85%E -3.63%K -64.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -25.70%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.70%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 13:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -4.75%E -4.53%K -95.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -25.70%E -3.21%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 13:13 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.20%EV -6.57%E -6.38%K -218.89%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.80%EV -28.48%E -3.70%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-05 06:16 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |