Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff v Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

2026-10-03 04:00 UTC — WTA China Open

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prediction 87.55%1.14fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -25.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.32%87.25%87.68%89.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1194.34%92.17%92.59%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit)

Prediction 12.45%8.03fair odd
EV +12.29%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.188%

assuming max odds 9.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.54%12.75%12.32%15.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.707.277.259.0217.54%13.76%13.79%11.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Coco Gauff (Local): 87.55%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 12.45%. For Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.03. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.02, producing a positive expected value of +12.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.31%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%9.02I 11.09%NM 10.69%EV +12.29%E +1.36%K +1.53%G +0.188%3.7%2026-10-01 16:25
Coral🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.05%E +1.34%K +1.51%G +0.181%5.5%2026-10-01 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +12.05%E +1.34%K +1.51%G +0.181%5.5%2026-10-01 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +5.82%E +0.685%K +0.776%G +0.045%6.1%2026-10-01 16:54
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.61%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.39%EV +4.58%E +0.545%K +0.618%G +0.028%4.5%2026-10-01 17:04
Coolbet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.24%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +0.841%E +0.104%K +0.118%G +0.001%4.9%2026-10-01 19:40
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 17:00
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 16:54
Sky Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 17:09
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-01 17:51
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.30%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 16:10
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 16:55
Neds🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.404%E -0.051%K -0.058%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.88%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.78%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.12%EV -1.65%E -0.209%K -0.239%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-01 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -2.89%E -0.371%K -0.426%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-01 16:15
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.52%E -0.454%K -0.521%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-01 17:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 16:16
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 19:35
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.63%E -0.884%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-01 16:15
GTbets🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.84%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 13.16%EV -9.62%E -1.32%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-01 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.93%EV -4.57%E -4.19%K -50.78%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.07%EV -9.74%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:10
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.74%E -1.34%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-01 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -10.36%E -1.44%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.45%E -5.04%K -68.07%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.85%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-01 16:09
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.40%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.30%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.60%EV -15.34%E -2.26%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-01 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -16.59%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 17:05
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.90%EV -3.69%E -3.36%K -36.94%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.10%EV -16.59%E -2.48%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-01 17:08
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:16
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.82%E -2.54%K -25.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.08%E -2.94%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-01 16:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -25.30%E -4.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 16:19
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -25.30%E -4.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -6.32%E -5.91%K -90.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV -25.30%E -4.22%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-01 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 84.32%EV -7.20%E -6.79%K -119.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.68%EV -29.04%E -5.09%K -6.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-01 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%5.0%2026-10-01 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%6.8%2026-10-01 17:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%6.8%2026-10-01 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%6.8%2026-10-01 17:15
Smarkets◎1.06I 94.34%NM 83.84%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.16%12.5%2026-10-01 16:10