Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.50
assuming max odds 2.92
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Caty McNally (Local): 65.71%; Dayana Yastremska (Visit): 34.29%. For Dayana Yastremska (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.916. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.920, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.123%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%EV -4.06%E -2.78%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%EV +0.123%E +0.042%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-30 02:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.123%E +0.042%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 02:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.123%E +0.042%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 02:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.25%E -0.434%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-30 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -1.25%E -0.434%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-30 01:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.25%E -0.434%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -1.59%E -0.554%K -0.851%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-30 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.28%E -0.799%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-30 01:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 02:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-29 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 22:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.99%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -4.68%E -1.68%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-30 02:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-29 22:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.38%E -3.73%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.71%E -2.07%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 23:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -6.73%E -2.48%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.06%E -2.78%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.06%E -2.78%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 23:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.03%E -4.22%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 22:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.69%E -4.71%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.42%E -2.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 02:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-30 02:48 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -7.35%E -5.21%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -9.13%E -3.45%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.23%EV -3.40%E -2.32%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.77%EV -9.48%E -3.59%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 19:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -1.43%E -0.955%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -10.16%E -3.88%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.85%E -4.17%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-29 19:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.72%E -3.25%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -12.56%E -4.93%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -8.66%E -6.23%K -22.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -12.56%E -4.93%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-29 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -8.00%E -5.72%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -14.28%E -5.71%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-30 03:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -1.43%E -0.955%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -17.71%E -7.38%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-28 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -1.43%E -0.955%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -17.71%E -7.38%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-28 21:03 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-09-30 03:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73% | 2.5% | 2026-09-30 03:05 |