Language:English
Belinda Bencic v Ann Li
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Belinda Bencic (Local)
Prediction 68.62%1.46fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.50%68.61%68.49%70.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.391.391.4475.76%71.95%71.94%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ann Li (Visit)
Prediction 31.38%3.19fair odd
EV +2.31%
Edge +0.709%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 3.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%31.39%31.51%33.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.973.003.2637.74%33.71%33.33%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Belinda Bencic (Local): 68.62%; Ann Li (Visit): 31.38%. For Ann Li (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.31%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%EV -4.62%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%EV +2.31%E +0.709%K +1.02%G +0.024% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 06:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV +0.428%E +0.134%K +0.195%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-10-05 05:06 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.14%E -0.362%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 10:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.14%E -0.362%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 01:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.14%E -0.362%K -0.531%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -1.77%E -0.565%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 03:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.71%E -0.874%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 07:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.00%E -4.38%K -16.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.71%E -0.874%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.71%E -0.874%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 10:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.71%E -0.874%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.37%E -5.46%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.71%E -0.874%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.37%E -5.46%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.71%E -0.874%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.37%E -5.46%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.71%E -0.874%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.43%E -7.14%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.71%E -0.874%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -4.62%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -5.22%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 06:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 02:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.62%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.62%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 10:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.62%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 09:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 08:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 09:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 13:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 07:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.05%E -6.01%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -5.85%E -1.95%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -4.62%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.79%E -2.29%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 07:13 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.27%EV -1.19%E -0.828%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.73%EV -7.10%E -2.40%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 10:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.62%E -3.33%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.31%E -3.85%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.42%E -2.51%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 08:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -7.73%E -2.63%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:06 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 02:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.94%E -2.81%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.99%E -3.10%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 10:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.61%E -3.34%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 10:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.88%E -1.31%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.56%E -3.70%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 13:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -6.68%E -4.91%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -15.26%E -5.65%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.75%EV -9.43%E -7.14%K -29.46%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -16.83%E -6.35%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-05 06:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-10-05 07:16 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-10-05 07:10 |