Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.18
assuming max odds 1.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ashlyn Krueger (Local): 45.36%; Ann Li (Visit): 54.64%. For Ashlyn Krueger (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.18, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.12%E -0.512%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.12%E -0.512%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.02%E -3.50%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -2.02%E -0.937%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -2.02%E -0.937%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -7.66%E -4.53%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.48%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -2.48%E -1.15%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -7.66%E -4.53%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 15:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.74%E -1.54%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-03 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 19:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 20:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 19:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.93%E -1.37%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.56%E -3.84%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -3.84%E -1.81%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.29%E -1.86%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 19:12 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.29%E -1.86%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 19:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.93%E -2.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 19:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.93%E -2.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 19:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 21:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 21:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 19:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 02:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 19:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 19:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.75%E -2.26%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 21:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.83%E -2.18%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-02 21:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -5.65%E -2.72%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.93%E -2.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.65%E -0.915%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.74%E -1.54%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 22:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.74%E -1.54%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 20:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -2.74%E -1.54%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.29%E -1.86%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-02 19:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.29%E -1.86%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 19:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 21:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 21:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.93%E -2.83%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 19:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 21:06 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 21:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 19:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -7.01%E -3.42%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -10.39%E -6.34%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-02 20:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -7.47%E -3.66%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.11%E -4.18%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-03 02:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -8.37%E -4.15%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -4.38%E -2.50%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-02 19:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.83%E -2.18%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 19:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.47%E -3.16%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 19:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -9.28%E -4.64%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -10.39%E -6.34%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-02 19:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 01:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 01:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-10-03 01:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 02:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-10-03 02:55 |