Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Bondár v Renata Zarazua

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 13:19 UTC

Final: Anna Bondár 0–2 Renata Zarazua

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anna Bondár (Local)

Prediction 68.03%1.47fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -8.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.95%68.12%68.18%70.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4275.76%72.24%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Renata Zarazua (Visit)

Prediction 31.97%3.13fair odd
EV +0.714%
Edge +0.227%
Kelly +0.332%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.84%31.88%31.82%34.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.973.003.1537.04%33.63%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Bondár (Local): 68.03%; Renata Zarazua (Visit): 31.97%. For Renata Zarazua (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.714%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -8.84%E -6.60%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV +0.714%E +0.227%K +0.332%G +0.002%6.4%2026-09-30 12:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.884%E -0.285%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 08:35
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.884%E -0.285%K -0.421%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-30 11:00
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -1.52%E -0.495%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 11:01
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.48%E -0.814%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.12%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-30 08:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.12%E -1.03%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-30 08:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -3.44%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-30 10:00
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 07:50
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 13:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 08:40
BetAnything🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-30 10:36
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.44%E -3.92%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 11:15
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.44%E -3.92%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 10:04
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.44%E -3.92%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 08:40
Betsson🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.44%E -3.92%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-30 10:35
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 07:50
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.48%E -5.50%K -20.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.08%E -1.36%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 08:10
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 13:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -5.68%E -1.93%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-30 07:30
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.08%E -2.89%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -6.00%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 13:10
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 13:15
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 09:58
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 12:35
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-30 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 12:55
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-29 10:40
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.12%E -4.44%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-30 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -10.20%E -7.73%K -31.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -7.28%E -2.51%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-30 08:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.92%E -2.75%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 07:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 09:55
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.76%E -3.40%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.24%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-29 09:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.35%EV -10.20%E -7.73%K -31.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -8.88%E -3.11%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-30 12:49
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.40%E -2.40%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.07%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.40%E -2.40%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -12.07%E -4.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 09:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.16%E -6.05%K -23.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -13.67%E -5.06%K -8.04%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-30 13:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-30 13:15
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-30 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-30 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-30 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-09-30 13:15