Language:English
Ann Li v Elina Svitolina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ann Li (Local)
Prediction 22.99%4.35fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.263%
Kelly -0.342%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.24%23.07%23.08%25.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.064.104.3028.17%24.62%24.39%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elina Svitolina (Visit)
Prediction 77.01%1.30fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -14.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.89%76.93%76.92%77.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.221.231.2584.03%81.68%81.30%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 22.99%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 77.01%. For Ann Li (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -1.13%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.13%E -0.263%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.28%E -0.536%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -2.28%E -0.536%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.28%E -0.536%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 12:31 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.28%E -0.536%K -0.701%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 12:26 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 12:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.43%E -0.817%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -3.89%E -0.930%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.58%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.58%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -4.58%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -7.59%E -6.33%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.73%E -1.40%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.29%K -22.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 14:11 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 12:26 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.05%E -4.96%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.03%E -2.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.59%E -6.33%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -9.18%E -2.32%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.70%EV -7.59%E -6.33%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.08%EV -9.41%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.92%EV -3.74%E -2.99%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -11.48%E -2.98%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -8.36%E -7.03%K -44.01%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 12:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.63%E -3.32%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.51%E -3.64%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.59%E -6.33%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.78%E -3.67%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.59%E -6.33%K -37.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -16.08%E -4.40%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -8.36%E -7.03%K -44.01%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -18.37%E -5.18%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.89%EV -8.36%E -7.03%K -44.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26% | 12.1% | 2026-10-05 15:11 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.89% | 12.2% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01% | 12.3% | 2026-10-05 15:06 |