Language:English
Alina Charaeva v Sonay Kartal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alina Charaeva (Local)
Prediction 37.62%2.66fair odd
EV +0.825%
Edge +0.308%
Kelly +0.491%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.41%37.68%37.35%40.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.512.542.6845.45%39.83%39.37%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sonay Kartal (Visit)
Prediction 62.38%1.60fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.913%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.14%62.32%62.65%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.521.511.5869.44%65.88%66.23%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alina Charaeva (Local): 37.62%; Sonay Kartal (Visit): 62.38%. For Alina Charaeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.68, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.825%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%EV +0.825%E +0.308%K +0.491%G +0.004% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%EV -3.94%E -2.56%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-05 04:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.43%E -0.547%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.18%E -0.840%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 05:06 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.18%E -0.840%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 03:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.18%E -0.840%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 02:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -3.31%E -1.29%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 04:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.94%E -2.56%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 06:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 06:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 20:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 05:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -4.07%E -1.59%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.59%EV -8.93%E -6.11%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.44%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -5.19%E -2.06%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.69%E -1.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -5.19%E -2.06%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -2.69%E -1.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-05 06:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.69%E -1.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-05 06:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 03:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 03:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 03:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 03:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 03:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-04 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 06:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.81%E -3.85%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 05:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.95%E -2.38%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.68%E -5.19%K -16.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -7.45%E -3.03%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.69%E -1.72%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 04:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.45%E -3.03%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 04:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.83%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 21:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.83%E -3.19%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.94%EV -8.58%E -3.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.06%EV -3.31%E -2.14%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 06:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.21%EV -8.58%E -3.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.79%EV -10.17%E -7.07%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.56%E -2.98%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 03:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-04 11:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 06:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.71%E -4.05%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.43%E -4.29%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 06:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -10.08%E -4.22%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -1.44%E -0.913%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.46%E -4.40%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.07%E -1.32%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 04:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -17.23%E -7.83%K -14.36%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -5.18%E -3.41%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-05 06:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 06:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83% | 2.4% | 2026-10-05 06:30 |