Language:English
Alina Charaeva v Qinwen Zheng
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alina Charaeva (Local)
Prediction 23.44%4.27fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +0.714%
Kelly +0.924%
Growth +0.029%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%23.53%23.22%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.024.104.4028.17%24.89%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qinwen Zheng (Visit)
Prediction 76.56%1.31fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.961%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%76.47%76.78%78.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.241.2984.75%81.14%80.65%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alina Charaeva (Local): 23.44%; Qinwen Zheng (Visit): 76.56%. For Alina Charaeva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +3.14%E +0.714%K +0.924%G +0.029% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-05 11:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV +3.14%E +0.714%K +0.924%G +0.029% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -9.66%E -8.19%K -53.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV +1.50%E +0.347%K +0.451%G +0.007% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV +1.50%E +0.347%K +0.451%G +0.007% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -8.13%E -6.77%K -40.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -0.375%E -0.088%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -0.609%E -0.144%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.55%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 11:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.55%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.55%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -1.55%E -0.368%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:11 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:26 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:26 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:11 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:11 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:11 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:11 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 11:11 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.89%E -0.949%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -7.36%E -6.09%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 10:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -5.06%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 10:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 10:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 12:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 13:56 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.24%E -1.56%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.13%E -6.77%K -40.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.14%EV -7.17%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.86%EV -3.54%E -2.81%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-05 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.83%E -4.74%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -8.58%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -4.30%E -3.44%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 10:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.61%EV -9.75%E -2.53%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.39%EV -8.90%E -7.47%K -46.82%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 11:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 12:11 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.92%E -2.87%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.07%E -4.09%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.10%E -3.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.60%E -5.41%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 12:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.36%E -6.09%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 11:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -13.27%E -3.59%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.36%EV -7.36%E -6.09%K -35.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.02%EV -14.67%E -4.03%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.98%EV -2.00%E -1.57%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.24%E -0.961%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.61%E -4.34%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -8.13%E -6.77%K -40.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 11:26 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -16.78%E -4.73%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.74%EV -8.13%E -6.77%K -40.65%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-05 11:26 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.87% | 13.4% | 2026-10-05 10:54 |