Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yuliia Starodubtseva v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

31%

69%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local)

Prediction 31.31%3.19fair odd

EV +1.75%

Edge +0.539%

Kelly +0.779%

Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.50%31.31%31.51%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.903.093.103.2534.48%32.36%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)

Prediction 68.69%1.46fair odd

EV -5.21%

Edge -3.77%

Kelly -13.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

68.08%68.69%68.49%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.361.361.3873.53%73.43%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local): 31.31%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 68.69%. For Yuliia Starodubtseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
BetAnything🎯	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.75%E +0.539%K +0.779%G +0.014%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-01 21:42
BetUS🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.187%E +0.058%K +0.085%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-01 21:41
GTbets🎯	3.14I 31.85%NM 30.38%EV -1.69%E -0.539%K -0.791%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.62%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.93%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.89%E -4.30%K -15.93%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-04-01 18:34
BetRivers🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
TABtouch🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
LeoVegas🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
Casumo🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
Grosvenor🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
ATG (SE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
betPARX🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
Svenska Spel🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:34
Bally Bet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.94%E -0.950%K -1.40%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 18:35
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.70%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-01 14:04
Virgin Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-01 18:34
LiveScore Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.04%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-04-01 18:34
Bet Victor🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.21%E -3.17%K -4.85%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.28%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-04-01 21:13

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.