Language:English
Yue Yuan v Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yue Yuan (Local)
Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV +5.71%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.107%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.77%26.19%26.11%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.623.634.0430.77%27.62%27.55%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit)
Prediction 73.83%1.35fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.92%
Kelly -7.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.81%73.89%76.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.281.281.3281.30%78.13%78.13%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yue Yuan (Local): 26.17%; Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Visit): 73.83%. For Yue Yuan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.04, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +5.71%E +1.41%K +1.88%G +0.107% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -6.97%E -5.53%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.77%EV +5.71%E +1.41%K +1.88%G +0.107% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.23%EV -6.97%E -5.53%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.66%E +1.17%K +1.55%G +0.072% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.23%E -4.91%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-01 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV +1.26%E +0.326%K +0.440%G +0.006% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -6.23%E -4.91%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 14:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -0.570%E -0.150%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.45%E -6.81%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-01 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.88%E -0.501%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 11:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.88%E -0.501%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 14:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.88%E -0.501%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -1.88%E -0.501%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.23%E -4.91%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.88%E -0.501%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.71%E -6.17%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.19%E -0.861%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 14:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.23%E -4.91%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.46%EV -5.02%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.54%EV -8.45%E -6.81%K -35.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-01 14:48 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.02%E -3.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 12:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.02%E -3.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 11:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 11:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.23%E -4.91%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.80%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.23%E -4.91%K -23.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-01 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.73%EV -7.11%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.27%EV -9.18%E -7.47%K -39.93%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-01 14:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.82%EV -7.90%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.18%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-01 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.02%E -3.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 12:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.02%E -3.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 09:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.02%E -3.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.02%E -3.09%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-01 10:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 12:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-01 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-01 11:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.71%E -6.17%K -30.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-01 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.46%EV -9.47%E -2.74%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.54%EV -3.28%E -2.50%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 12:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.49%E -4.29%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-01 11:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.34%E -3.69%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.54%E -1.92%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-01 09:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.96%E -4.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.96%E -4.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.75%E -3.69%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-01 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -14.96%E -4.60%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -6.97%E -5.53%K -26.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-01 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-04-01 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.44% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.56% | 1.0% | 2026-04-01 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.67% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.33% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.38% | 2.8% | 2026-04-01 14:45 |