La scuola delle quote

McCartney Kessler v Janice Tjen

Inizio: 2026-04-01 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

McCartney Kessler (Casa)

Previsione 56.94%1.76quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -0.866%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%56.88%56.85%58.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.661.661.7362.50%60.18%60.24%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Janice Tjen (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.06%2.32quota equa
EV -1.82%
Vantaggio -0.797%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.39%43.12%43.15%45.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.192.202.2847.62%45.68%45.45%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.50%E -0.866%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.07%E -1.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.55%E -3.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 13:50
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 13:35
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -7.85%E -3.67%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 14:00
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -7.85%E -3.67%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 14:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 14:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.69%E -2.60%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 14:01
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 14:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 13:58
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 13:50
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 13:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:01
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 13:50
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 13:50
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 13:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 14:01
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 13:50
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 14:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 13:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 13:49
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 13:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 13:35
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 13:35
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.55%E -3.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 14:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.55%E -3.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 13:50
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 13:50
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 14:48
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 14:15
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 14:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-01 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-01 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-01 14:45
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-01 14:45
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-04-01 14:30
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-04-01 14:45