L’École des cotes

McCartney Kessler v Janice Tjen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

McCartney Kessler (Local)

Prévision 56.94%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.866%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%56.88%56.85%58.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.661.661.7362.50%60.18%60.24%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Janice Tjen (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.06%2.32cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.797%
Kelly -1.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.39%43.12%43.15%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.2847.62%45.68%45.45%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.50%E -0.866%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.07%E -1.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.21%E -1.89%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.55%E -3.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 13:50
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-01 13:35
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -7.85%E -3.67%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 14:00
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.78%E -2.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -7.85%E -3.67%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 14:00
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 14:30
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.69%E -2.60%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 14:01
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.35%E -2.59%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 14:00
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 13:58
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 13:50
Bet Right1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:30
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 13:50
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:01
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 14:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.91%E -2.94%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 13:50
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 13:50
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.54%E -1.58%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 13:50
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 14:01
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 13:50
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:01
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 14:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.48%E -3.30%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.57%E -4.56%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 14:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.11%E -1.38%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 13:50
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 13:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 13:49
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 13:50
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 13:35
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.05%E -3.67%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 13:35
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.55%E -3.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 14:00
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.55%E -3.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 13:50
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.62%E -4.04%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -7.42%E -3.45%K -6.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-01 13:50
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.76%E -4.79%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -1.82%E -0.797%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 14:48
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.84%EV -8.33%E -5.17%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.71%E -4.11%K -7.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 14:15
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.90%E -5.56%K -14.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.26%E -2.39%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-01 14:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-01 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-04-01 14:45
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.27%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.73%1.5%2026-04-01 14:45
ProphetX1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-04-01 14:30
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-04-01 14:45