Language:English
Jessica Pegula v Iva Jović
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jessica Pegula (Local)
Prediction 68.70%1.46fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +3.50%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.16%68.46%68.81%70.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.381.381.4876.34%72.41%72.20%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Iva Jović (Visit)
Prediction 31.30%3.20fair odd
EV +0.152%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.069%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.80%31.54%31.19%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.963.003.2038.46%33.78%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jessica Pegula (Local): 68.70%; Iva Jović (Visit): 31.30%. For Jessica Pegula (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +1.68%E +1.13%K +3.50%G +0.059% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -17.06%E -6.44%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -0.382%E -0.263%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -18.63%E -7.16%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -1.76%E -1.23%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -10.80%E -3.79%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.93%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.44%E -1.72%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.93%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.67%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.67%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.67%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.13%E -2.22%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.67%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.92%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.67%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.67%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.67%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.67%E -2.60%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 17:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.24%E -3.19%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.82%E -2.73%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -4.50%E -3.24%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -17.06%E -6.44%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.27%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.73%EV -2.66%E -0.857%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.19%E -3.76%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.88%E -4.29%K -15.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.152%E +0.048%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.80%E -3.79%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.56%E -4.83%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.37%E -4.42%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -0.474%E -0.149%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.25%E -5.37%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -2.98%E -0.960%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -7.94%E -5.92%K -23.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -13.93%E -5.07%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.11%E -2.04%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.41%EV -8.63%E -6.49%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.86%E -3.42%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -9.31%E -7.06%K -29.10%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -4.54%E -1.49%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.75%EV -10.00%E -7.63%K -32.26%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.25%EV -5.48%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.30% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.70% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 17:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.82% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 17:10 |