Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula v Diana Shnaider

Início: 2026-04-03 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 69.03%1.45odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -4.70%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.27%69.01%69.21%71.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.361.361.4275.76%73.42%73.53%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Previsão 30.97%3.23odd justa
EV +2.19%
Vantagem +0.664%
Kelly +0.952%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.73%30.99%30.79%33.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.753.103.093.3036.36%32.29%32.36%30.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Pegula (Local): 69.03%; Diana Shnaider (Visitante): 30.97%. Para Diana Shnaider (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.23. 15 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.19%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:24
LeoVegas🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:24
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.19%E -6.15%K -24.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%5.5%2026-04-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.642%E +0.197%K +0.285%G +0.002%3.2%2026-04-03 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.88%E -6.72%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.907%E -0.283%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.88%E -6.72%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.907%E -0.283%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.88%E -6.72%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.907%E -0.283%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 14:25
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -2.15%E -0.679%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.42%E -3.96%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.46%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:15
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:53
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:55
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:10
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.42%E -3.96%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.62%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.42%E -3.96%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.62%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 14:49
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.24%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 14:55
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 14:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.66%E -1.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.17%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.66%E -1.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.17%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 14:50
Coolbet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.04%E -2.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -6.17%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 14:49
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.04%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.96%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 14:10
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.04%E -2.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:50
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.42%E -3.96%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 14:45
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:15
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:55
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 14:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -8.19%E -6.15%K -24.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:50
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:10
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -1.97%E -1.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.29%E -4.75%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 14:45
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.29%E -4.75%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.29%E -4.75%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:55
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.84%E -5.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 14:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-04-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-04-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-04-03 14:55
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-04-03 14:55
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.07%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.93%2.0%2026-04-03 14:55
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-04-03 14:55