La escuela de los momios

Jessica Pegula v Diana Shnaider

Inicio: 2026-04-03 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Predicción 69.03%1.45momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -4.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%69.01%69.21%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.361.361.4275.76%73.42%73.53%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Diana Shnaider (Visitante)

Predicción 30.97%3.23momio equitativo
EV +2.19%
Ventaja +0.664%
Kelly +0.952%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%30.99%30.79%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.103.093.3036.36%32.29%32.36%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:24
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:24
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.50%E -5.59%K -22.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%4.9%2026-04-03 14:25
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.19%E -6.15%K -24.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +2.19%E +0.664%K +0.952%G +0.021%5.5%2026-04-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV +0.642%E +0.197%K +0.285%G +0.002%3.2%2026-04-03 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.88%E -6.72%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.907%E -0.283%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 14:25
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.88%E -6.72%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.907%E -0.283%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 14:24
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.88%E -6.72%K -27.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -0.907%E -0.283%K -0.412%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 14:25
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -2.15%E -0.679%K -0.993%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-03 10:50
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.42%E -3.96%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.46%E -0.779%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:15
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:53
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:55
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:15
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:15
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:10
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 14:40
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.00%E -1.29%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 14:40
Marathon Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.42%E -3.96%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.62%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 14:55
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.42%E -3.96%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.79%EV -4.62%E -1.50%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 14:49
1xBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.24%E -1.71%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-03 14:55
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 14:09
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 14:49
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 14:10
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.66%E -1.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.17%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -2.66%E -1.89%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -6.17%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 14:50
Coolbet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.55%EV -4.04%E -2.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.45%EV -6.17%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 14:49
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 68.25%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.75%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-03 14:50
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.04%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 30.96%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 14:10
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-03 14:55
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.04%E -2.91%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 14:50
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:50
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.73%E -3.43%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-03 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.42%E -3.96%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 14:45
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:15
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.80%E -5.04%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.10%E -2.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 14:55
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 14:54
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -8.19%E -6.15%K -24.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.20%E -3.52%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 14:49
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:50
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.11%E -4.50%K -16.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.82%E -3.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 14:10
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -1.97%E -1.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.29%E -4.75%K -7.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 14:45
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.29%E -4.75%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.29%E -4.75%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 14:55
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -3.35%E -2.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -14.84%E -5.40%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 14:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-04-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-04-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-04-03 14:55
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-04-03 14:55
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.07%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.93%2.0%2026-04-03 14:55
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.57%2.2%2026-04-03 14:55