Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović v Sofia Kenin

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 22:16 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Iva Jović (Local)

Prediction 73.25%1.37fair odd
EV +4.02%
Edge +2.83%
Kelly +9.58%
Growth +0.385%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.68%73.17%73.07%77.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.291.291.4283.33%77.62%77.52%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sofia Kenin (Visit)

Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV +12.33%
Edge +2.94%
Kelly +3.85%
Growth +0.475%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%26.83%26.93%35.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.603.513.504.2038.46%28.50%28.57%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 73.25%; Sofia Kenin (Visit): 26.75%. For Sofia Kenin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -12.09%E -10.08%K -60.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +12.33%E +2.94%K +3.85%G +0.475%7.1%2026-04-02 22:15
Betsson🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -12.09%E -10.08%K -60.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +12.33%E +2.94%K +3.85%G +0.475%7.1%2026-04-02 22:15
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -9.16%E -7.39%K -38.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +9.66%E +2.36%K +3.11%G +0.301%5.0%2026-04-02 22:15
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.43%E -6.75%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +6.98%E +1.75%K +2.33%G +0.162%5.0%2026-04-02 22:15
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -8.43%E -6.75%K -33.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +6.98%E +1.75%K +2.33%G +0.162%5.0%2026-04-02 22:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -11.36%E -9.39%K -54.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV +6.98%E +1.75%K +2.33%G +0.162%7.6%2026-04-02 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -12.09%E -10.08%K -60.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +6.98%E +1.75%K +2.33%G +0.162%8.3%2026-04-02 22:15
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.97%E -5.49%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.63%E +0.430%K +0.583%G +0.010%5.1%2026-04-02 22:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.97%E -5.49%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.63%E +0.430%K +0.583%G +0.010%5.1%2026-04-02 22:15
Casumo🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.97%E -5.49%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.63%E +0.430%K +0.583%G +0.010%5.1%2026-04-02 22:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.97%E -5.49%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +1.63%E +0.430%K +0.583%G +0.010%5.1%2026-04-02 22:15
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.43%E -6.75%K -33.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.295%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 22:15
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.63%E -8.71%K -48.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.295%E +0.079%K +0.107%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 22:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.04%E -0.282%K -0.386%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 22:15
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.04%E -0.282%K -0.386%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 22:15
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -1.04%E -0.282%K -0.386%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 22:15
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -2.38%E -0.652%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 22:15
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -9.16%E -7.39%K -38.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -2.38%E -0.652%K -0.898%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 22:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.04%E -3.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-02 22:15
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.72%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 22:15
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.77%E -3.67%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.77%E -3.67%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 22:15
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.77%E -3.67%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 22:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.77%E -3.67%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 22:15
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 22:14
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 22:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.97%E -5.49%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.97%E -5.49%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.39%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-02 22:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 22:15
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 22:15
Grosvenor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 22:15
Fliff🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -8.43%E -6.75%K -33.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -7.73%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-02 22:15
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.50%E -4.26%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 22:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.97%E -5.49%K -25.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.07%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-02 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.84%E -1.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.87%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.84%E -1.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -9.87%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-02 22:08
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.40%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-02 22:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.04%E -3.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -10.40%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 22:04
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.04%E -3.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -10.40%E -3.11%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-02 22:04
GTbets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.94%EV -0.374%E -0.275%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.06%EV -11.21%E -3.38%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-02 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -4.77%E -3.67%K -15.90%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -11.21%E -3.38%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 21:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 21:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 21:59
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.04%E -3.08%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-02 22:14
Everygame🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.23%E -4.87%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-02 21:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -9.16%E -7.39%K -38.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-02 22:15
1xBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.00%EV -1.84%E -1.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.00%EV -12.28%E -3.74%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 21:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.11%E -0.819%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-02 21:59
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 22:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -7.70%E -6.11%K -29.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -13.08%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 21:59
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.57%E -1.93%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.09%E -5.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 22:15
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.11%E -0.819%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.76%E -6.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 22:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -1.11%E -0.819%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -19.76%E -6.59%K -9.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 22:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -1.84%E -1.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -21.10%E -7.15%K -10.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 21:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV +4.02%E +2.83%K +9.58%G +0.385%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -30.46%E -11.72%K -19.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 22:11
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%0.1%2026-04-02 22:15
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 77.68%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-04-02 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%3.3%2026-04-02 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%3.3%2026-04-02 22:15
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.46%5.9%2026-04-02 22:14
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%7.8%2026-04-02 22:15