Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xiyu Wang v Sara Bejlek

Início: 2026-08-02 19:05 UTC

Final: Xiyu Wang 1–2 Sara Bejlek

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Xiyu Wang (Local)

Previsão 41.07%2.44odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.427%
Kelly -0.730%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.45%41.09%41.10%42.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.302.302.4145.45%43.48%43.48%41.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sara Bejlek (Visitante)

Previsão 58.93%1.70odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -1.31%
Kelly -3.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.29%58.91%58.90%60.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.611.611.6665.36%62.17%62.11%60.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Xiyu Wang (Local): 41.07%; Sara Bejlek (Visitante): 58.93%. Para Xiyu Wang (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.44. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.41, com valor esperado de -1.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -1.03%E -0.427%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -6.89%E -4.36%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:29
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.03%E -0.427%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.44%E -0.600%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.67%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.76%E -1.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.76%E -1.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.76%E -1.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 17:15
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 15:13
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.89%E -4.36%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:48
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 16:40
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.14%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:45
ReBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.14%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 15:39
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:30
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 20:55
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.89%E -4.36%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:29
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 16:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 16:40
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:24
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 05:34
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:34
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:15
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:04
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:05
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 16:05
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.83%E -6.43%K -18.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 17:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-02 18:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-02 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-02 18:50
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.1%2026-08-02 18:50
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-08-02 18:50