Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Xiyu Wang v Sara Bejlek

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-02 19:05 UTC

Score final : Xiyu Wang 1–2 Sara Bejlek

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Xiyu Wang (Local)

Prévision 41.07%2.44cote équitable
EV -1.03%
Avantage -0.427%
Kelly -0.730%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.45%41.09%41.10%42.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.302.302.4145.45%43.48%43.48%41.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Sara Bejlek (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.93%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -3.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.29%58.91%58.90%60.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.531.611.611.6665.36%62.17%62.11%60.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Xiyu Wang (Local) : 41.07% ; Sara Bejlek (Visiteur) : 58.93%. Pour Xiyu Wang (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.44. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.41, pour une espérance de -1.03% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -1.03%E -0.427%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -6.89%E -4.36%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 17:29
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -1.03%E -0.427%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:19
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.44%E -0.600%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.94%E -2.42%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 16:15
Pinnacle🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.67%E -1.13%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.76%E -1.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-02 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.76%E -1.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 17:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.76%E -1.67%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-02 17:15
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 15:13
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.49%E -1.49%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -3.90%E -1.67%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.31%E -1.85%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.89%E -4.36%K -11.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 18:48
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 16:40
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:14
Bally Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-01 20:15
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.73%E -2.04%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.14%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:45
ReBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.14%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -2.17%E -1.31%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-02 15:39
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 17:15
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:30
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:45
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 15:09
Dabble (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 20:55
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.55%E -2.41%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 16:35
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.37%E -2.79%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -6.89%E -4.36%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:29
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 16:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 16:40
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:24
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.12%E -3.18%K -8.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 05:34
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.71%E -3.57%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.30%E -3.96%K -10.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 18:34
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:15
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:04
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 15:05
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.60%E -3.38%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.47%E -4.76%K -13.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 16:05
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.35%E -2.04%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.53%E -2.79%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -9.65%E -4.39%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -9.83%E -6.43%K -18.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-02 18:45
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-02 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-08-02 18:50
Novig2.41I 41.49%NM 40.64%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.36%2.1%2026-08-02 18:50
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.6%2026-08-02 18:50